The Kentucky Derby is set for May 2 at Churchill Downs in Louisville and already a trio of horses has emerged as the top challengers in the ‘Run for the Roses’. While many horse racing experts consider the tentative field for the 2015 Derby to be very deep and talented at the same time there’s been little to no support for any of the ‘also rans’. The two Bob Baffert trained entries—Dortmund and American Pharoah along with Todd Pletcher’s Carpe Diem—are the favorites in the race three weeks out. As far as which of this three is the top choice of the betting public—that’s a little more difficult to ascertain. For the latest Kentucky derby horse contenders and betting odds, buy cialis it is recommended to visit Derby Craze.
Let’s start with Carpe Diem—heading in to the April 4 Bluegrass there were plenty of questions about this horse. There was no question about his talent but many members of the American sporting press had issue with his relatively light schedule punctuated by a fairly long layoff. Carpe Diem quickly shot to the top of the Kentucky Derby contender class with a win in Grade 1 Breeders’ Cup Futurity at Keenelandin early October 2014. A month later he finished second behind Texas Red in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile—the way Texas Red ran that day he wasn’t going to be caught.
The questions began shortly thereafter. Despite two wins and a 2nd place finish in three career races—two Grade 1 Stakes events—Todd Pletcher indicated that the wanted to ‘bring him along slowly’ in his three year old campaign. Carpe Diem’s three year old campaign has been excellent so far with impressive wins in the Tampa Bay Derby and Blue Grass Stakes. Still, pills it was something of a surprise whenWynn Las Vegas director John Avello opened him as the 5-2 favorite following last weekend’s major prep races.
Bob Baffert’s two horses have posed no real questions. Dortmund has looked like a monster in winning his first six career races including the three major prep races at Santa Anita this year, sales most recently the Santa Anita Derby. He’s turned in three straight 100+ Beyer Speed Figures and even grizzled horse racingpundits have a hard time coming up with anything bad to say about what the Daily Racing Form’s Mike Watchmaker calls ‘a freakish colt’. Dortmund is the current favorite in the unofficial but respected Glantz-Culver Future Book odds at 7-2, co-favorite at 9-2 at several influential European books and the second choice in the official Derby futures pool (9-2) and at the Wynn Las Vegas (9-2).
There may be no question about the Kentucky Derby betting favorite after the Arkansas Derby this weekend. Baffert’s other top contender—American Pharoah—is entered in the race and expected to dominate an overmatched field. If this transpires, he’ll very likely be at the top of the morning line list when it’s released on April 29. American Pharoah was the favorite in the final Kentucky Derby futures pool (5-1), the co-favorite in Europe (9/2). He was the third choice at 5-1 in the revised Wynn Las Vegas numbers released after last weekend’s prep races.
At this point, there’s little value to be had with the three favorites. Some good prices can be found down the board, however, with every other likely contender available at double digit odds. Several horses that have already qualified for the Derby are among the long shots including Danzig Moon (40-1) and El Kabeir (40-1).